A Simulation of Potential Economic Loss Due to Legal Immigration Crackdowns

Author(s)

Jareer ImranFollow

School Name

Spring Valley High School

Grade Level

11th Grade

Presentation Topic

Sociology

Presentation Type

Non-Mentored

Written Paper Award

4th Place

Abstract

The economic benefits that legal immigrants to the United States provide remains ambiguous. With recent changes in government encouraging the reduction of immigrants into the United States, it has become pertinent that this subject be studied in more depth.The purpose of this study was to examine whether legal immigrants provide a substantial net benefit to the United States economy, with the intention that the results of the study be used as an objective argument during immigration policy debates. It was hypothesized that there would be a substantial net increase in economic productivity provided by immigrants, and that a reduction in the number of immigrants entering the country would conversely lead to a reduction in economic productivity. To carry out this experiment, a model was adapted from previous studies to fit the purpose of this study. The model then simulated how changes in labor input from immigrants affected overall productivity. The simulation was modeled over the course of fifteen years, with the number of immigrants entering the United States simulated to be five percent less than those entering the previous year. These values were then analyzed using descriptive statistical methods, where it was noted that an average of $68,706,017 was lost annually due to the reduction. Over the course of the fifteen year simulation, it was projected that nearly a billions dollars was lost. These results indicate a substantial contribution of immigrants to the United States economy.

Location

Founders Hall 251 C

Start Date

3-30-2019 9:15 AM

Presentation Format

Oral and Written

Group Project

No

COinS
 
Mar 30th, 9:15 AM

A Simulation of Potential Economic Loss Due to Legal Immigration Crackdowns

Founders Hall 251 C

The economic benefits that legal immigrants to the United States provide remains ambiguous. With recent changes in government encouraging the reduction of immigrants into the United States, it has become pertinent that this subject be studied in more depth.The purpose of this study was to examine whether legal immigrants provide a substantial net benefit to the United States economy, with the intention that the results of the study be used as an objective argument during immigration policy debates. It was hypothesized that there would be a substantial net increase in economic productivity provided by immigrants, and that a reduction in the number of immigrants entering the country would conversely lead to a reduction in economic productivity. To carry out this experiment, a model was adapted from previous studies to fit the purpose of this study. The model then simulated how changes in labor input from immigrants affected overall productivity. The simulation was modeled over the course of fifteen years, with the number of immigrants entering the United States simulated to be five percent less than those entering the previous year. These values were then analyzed using descriptive statistical methods, where it was noted that an average of $68,706,017 was lost annually due to the reduction. Over the course of the fifteen year simulation, it was projected that nearly a billions dollars was lost. These results indicate a substantial contribution of immigrants to the United States economy.