Can People Accurately Predict Their Test Scores Based on Previous Scores?
School Name
Heathwood Hall Episcopal School
Grade Level
9th Grade
Presentation Topic
Psychology
Presentation Type
Non-Mentored
Abstract
This study was carried out to determine what the effect of prior scores on assessments has on future scores. If order to conduct this study, I obtained permission from AssessmentDay to use two of their logical reasoning assessments. 28 students were gathered; they first took a survey describing what they expected to receive on the 1st assessment prior to taking it. They then took the 1st assessment. Then, after grading the assessments, they were returned to the students with some having false scores on them; 7 received their true score, 7 received a score 2 points lower, 7 received a score 2 points higher, and 7 did not receive their scores at all. After receiving their scores, the subjects took a second survey predicting what they expected to receive on the 2nd assessment prior to taking it. They then took the 2nd assessment. After grading 2nd assessments, the data was analyzed. After analyzing the data, I found that the people who didn't receive their score back did not seem to have much of a relationship with each other; 4 received similar scores, 2 received lower scores, and 2 received higher scores. The group that received their actual scores for the 1st assessment had about the same success on the 2nd assessment. The group that received a higher score on their first assessment tended to do better on the second assessment. The group that received a lower score on their first assessment also had scores which were all over the place.
Recommended Citation
Koon, Will, "Can People Accurately Predict Their Test Scores Based on Previous Scores?" (2020). South Carolina Junior Academy of Science. 273.
https://scholarexchange.furman.edu/scjas/2020/all/273
Location
Furman Hall 208
Start Date
3-28-2020 12:15 PM
Presentation Format
Oral and Written
Group Project
No
Can People Accurately Predict Their Test Scores Based on Previous Scores?
Furman Hall 208
This study was carried out to determine what the effect of prior scores on assessments has on future scores. If order to conduct this study, I obtained permission from AssessmentDay to use two of their logical reasoning assessments. 28 students were gathered; they first took a survey describing what they expected to receive on the 1st assessment prior to taking it. They then took the 1st assessment. Then, after grading the assessments, they were returned to the students with some having false scores on them; 7 received their true score, 7 received a score 2 points lower, 7 received a score 2 points higher, and 7 did not receive their scores at all. After receiving their scores, the subjects took a second survey predicting what they expected to receive on the 2nd assessment prior to taking it. They then took the 2nd assessment. After grading 2nd assessments, the data was analyzed. After analyzing the data, I found that the people who didn't receive their score back did not seem to have much of a relationship with each other; 4 received similar scores, 2 received lower scores, and 2 received higher scores. The group that received their actual scores for the 1st assessment had about the same success on the 2nd assessment. The group that received a higher score on their first assessment tended to do better on the second assessment. The group that received a lower score on their first assessment also had scores which were all over the place.
