Program

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2016
Tuesday, June 14th
5:30 PM

Reception

Conference Welcoming Reception and Registration

Zane Grey Ballroom.

3rd Floor.Weatherford Hotel.

23 North Leroux (Downtown) Flagstaff, AZ

Wednesday, June 15th
7:45 AM

Registration Desk Opens

High Country Conference Center

8:00 AM

Announcements

High Country Conference Center

8:10 AM

Welcome

John Hearne, President, Resource Modeling Association

High Country Conference Center

8:20 AM

Student Presentations

Landscape Resistance Models Identify Genetic Connectivity Corridors for a Foundation Riparian Tree (Populus angustifolia)

Helen M Bothwell

High Country Conference Center

8:35 AM

Student Presentations

Assessing the Economic Tradeoffs Between Prevention and Suppression of Forest Fires

Betsy Heines

High Country Conference Center

8:50 AM

Student Presentations

Using Integral-Projection Models to Understand Oyster Demography and Management

Jacob L Moore

High Country Conference Center

9:05 AM

Student Presentations

Spatial Correlation among Maize Markets in Tanzania and the Benefit of Pooling the Risk to Design an Insurance Scheme

Anaïs Goburdhun

High Country Conference Center

9:20 AM

Student Presentations

Habitat Damage and Marine Reserves in a Stage-Structured Bioeconomic Model

Ann Dunham

High Country Conference Center

9:35 AM

Student Presentations

Biodiversity Loss, Ecosystem Service Debt, and the Sustainability of Social-Ecological Systems

Anne-Sophie Lafuite

High Country Conference Center

9:50 AM

Student Presentations

Robust Spatial Optimization for the Invasive Species Management

Nahid Jafari

High Country Conference Center

10:05 AM

Student Presentations

Energy Efficiency, Renewable Energy and Household Behaviour: Evidence from OECD countries

Prudence Dato

High Country Conference Center

10:20 AM

Coffee Break

High Country Conference Center

10:40 AM

Forestry

Optimal Harvesting Strategies for Timber and Non-Timber Forest Products in Tropical Ecosystems

Suzanne Lenhart

High Country Conference Center

11:00 AM

Forestry

Resuscitating Old Forest Models to Meet Present Environmental Reporting Needs

Bogdan Strimbu

High Country Conference Center

11:20 AM

KEYNOTE ADDRESS

The Effects of Climate Change on Marine Birds, Part I: Rising Sea Surface Temperature, Cannibalism, and Reproductive Synchrony

Shandelle M. Henson

High Country Conference Center

12:10 PM

Lunch

High Country Conference Center

1:30 PM

KEYNOTE ADDRESS

The Effects of Climate Change on Marine Birds, Part II: Population Dynamics and Evolutionary Outcomes

Jim Cushing

High Country Conference Center

2:20 PM

Commercial Fisheries

Alaska’s Sablefish Fishery After Individual Fishing Quota Program Implementation -- A Bioeconomic Analysis

Keith Criddle

High Country Conference Center

2:40 PM

Commercial Fisheries

Sustainability and Stochasticity in Ecosystem-Based Commercial Fisheries Management

Leif Kristoffer Sandal

High Country Conference Center

3:00 PM

Commercial Fisheries

Determining Optimal Catch in Age-Structured Multispecies Fisheries

Diwakar Poudel

High Country Conference Center

3:20 PM

Coffee Break

High Country Conference Center

3:40 PM

Species Dispersion

A Nova Web Application for Population Viability and Sustainable Harvesting Analyses

Wayne M Getz

High Country Conference Center

4:00 PM

Species Dispersion

Allee Effects and Density Dependent Dispersal Interact to Generate Variable Invasion Speed

Michael Neubert

High Country Conference Center

4:20 PM

Species Dispersion

Mathematical Models for Habitat Contributions of Migrating Species on a Network, Part I

Joanna Bieri

High Country Conference Center

4:40 PM

Species Dispersion

Mathematical Models for Habitat Contributions of Migrating Species on a Network, Part II

Christine Sample

High Country Conference Center

Thursday, June 16th
7:45 AM

Registration Desk Opens

High Country Conference Center

8:00 AM

Announcements

High Country Conference Center

8:10 AM

Climate Change

Augmenting Water Deficit Index as a Tool to Estimate Forest Plantation Water Availability

Cristian R. Montes

High Country Conference Center

8:30 AM

Climate Change

To Mitigate or to Adapt to Climate Change: Environmental Policies vs. Ecological Consequences

Yuri Yatsenko

High Country Conference Center

8:50 AM

Climate Change

Modeling the Banana-Climate Indices in Taiwan

Yawen Chiueh

High Country Conference Center

9:10 AM

Climate Change

Hydro-Climatic Variability and Perturbations in Mexico's North-Western Temperate Forests

Jose Navar

High Country Conference Center

9:30 AM

Coffee Break

High Country Conference Center

9:50 AM

Riparian Species

Effects of Changing Climate and Water Availability on Four Riparian Species in the Southwestern United States

Jacek T. Giermakowski

High Country Conference Center

10:10 AM

Riparian Species

Determining the Relative Roles of Environmental Drivers and Competition in the Population Dynamics of Rainbow Trout and Humpback Chub to Inform Management of Glen Canyon Dam

Charles B. Yackulic

High Country Conference Center

10:30 AM

Riparian Species

Bioeconomic Model of Rainbow Trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) and Humpback Chub (Gila cypha) Management in the Grand Canyon

Lucas S Bair

High Country Conference Center

10:50 AM

KEYNOTE ADDRESS

Improving the rigor and Usefulness of Scenarios and Models for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services Assessment

Graciela Ana Canziani

High Country Conference Center

11:40 AM

Lunch

High Country Conference Center

12:30 PM

Bus Trip to Grand Canyon National Park

2:00 PM

Presentation by the Science and Resource Management Center in the Grand Canyon National Park

Science and Resource Management Center Staff

Shrine of Ages, Grand Canyon National Park

3:30 PM

Free Time

Grand Canyon National Park

5:30 PM

Conference Banquet

Santa Fe Room, Maswick Lodge. Grand Canyon National Park

7:15 PM

Walk to South Rim to Observe Sunset

Grand Canyon National Park

8:00 PM

Bus Trip Return to Flagstaff

Friday, June 17th
7:45 AM

Registration Desk Opens

High Country Conference Center

8:00 AM

Announcements

High Country Conference Center

8:10 AM

Economics

Modelling a Tradable Development Rights Market in Fragmented Brazilian Forests

Kate J. Helmstedt

High Country Conference Center

8:30 AM

Economics

Accounting for Income, Investment, and Capital Gains in the Simple Hotelling Model

Robert D Cairns

High Country Conference Center

8:50 AM

Economics

Optimal Transport in Hand-Picked Agriculture

Richard Sowers

High Country Conference Center

9:10 AM

Economics

Can Funding Anti-Poaching Patrols with Ivory Stockpile Sales Save the African Elephant?

Matthew H Holden

High Country Conference Center

9:30 AM

Coffee Break

High Country Conference Center

9:50 AM

Forestry

Modeling Urban Host Tree Distributions for Invasive Forest Pests Using a Multi-Step Approach

Mark J. Ambrose

High Country Conference Center

10:10 AM

Forestry

Insect Pest Management With Global Change In Mind Using Physiologically Structured Models.

Ahmed Noussair

High Country Conference Center

10:30 AM

Forestry

Ecological Considerations in Modelling to Reduce Risk of Wildfires

John Hearne

High Country Conference Center

10:50 AM

KEYNOTE ADDRESS

What is the Value of Knowledge?

Hugh Possingham

High Country Conference Center

11:45 AM

Lunch

High Country Conference Center

1:15 PM

Ecosystems

SOILWAT: A Mechanistic Ecohydrological Model for Ecosystem Classification and Prediction

Caitlin M. Andrews

High Country Conference Center

1:35 PM

Ecosystems

How Ecosystems' Shifts Change the Optimal Groundwater Management Strategy

Encarna Esteban

High Country Conference Center

1:55 PM

Ecosystems

The Tragedy of Open Ecosystems

Luc Doyen

High Country Conference Center

2:15 PM

Ecosystems

Genetically Informed Models for Assisted Migration and Climate Change

Tom Whitham

High Country Conference Center

2:35 PM

Coffee Break

High Country Conference Center

2:55 PM

Social, Ecological Systems

Vulnerability, Resilience, and Adaptive Capacity Measures for Adaptation Decisions: the Case of Coastal Communities

Richard H. Moll

High Country Conference Center

3:15 PM

Social, Ecological Systems

The Value of Resolving Uncertainty in Social-Ecological Systems

Katrina J Davis

High Country Conference Center

3:35 PM

Social, Ecological Systems

Dynamical Implications of Bidirectional Resources Exchange Between Two Ecosystems

Yun Kang

High Country Conference Center

4:00 PM

Meeting

Resource Modeling Association Business Meeting and Journal Report

Chair: John Hearne, President, Resource Modeling Association.

Editor: Catherine Roberts

High Country Conference Center